← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Sep 12, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Frank Schneider, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 44% | 2.18 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
| Le Havre AC win | 25% | 3.96 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp −0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Le Havre AC −0.25 | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.60 |
| Over | 39% | 2.42 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Jamal Thiaré · Le Havre AC |
| 26' | 🟨 | Fernand Mayembo · Le Havre AC |
| 31' | 🟨 | Woyo Coulibaly · Le Havre AC |
| 36' | 🟨 | Jérémy Sorbon · Guingamp |
| 45' | ⚽ | Jamal Thiaré · Le Havre AC |
| 63' | 🟨 | Sikou Niakaté · Guingamp |
| 67' | 🟨 | Jeremy Mellot · Guingamp |
| 67' | 🟨 | Alexandre Bonnet · Le Havre AC |
| 69' | ⚽ (og) | Jeremy Mellot · Le Havre AC |
| 73' | ⚽ | Matthias Phaeton · Guingamp |
| 75' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 20 | Shots | 4 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Le Havre AC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou |
| 90' | 🟨 | Victor Lekhal · Le Havre AC |
| coach days | 42.00 | 439.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 2.82 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1483.32 | 1529.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -41.72 | 9.90 |
| eye test v1 | 0.22 | -0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | -0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 66.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.80 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.80 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 13.83 |
| season ppg | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 7.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.05 | 0.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 0.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.87 | 25.54 |
| state index | -0.55 | -0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.83 | 0.83 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |