← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Aug 29, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Arnaud Baert, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble win | 43% | 2.26 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Toulouse FC win | 26% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Toulouse FC −0.25 | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.61 |
| Over | 40% | 2.39 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Deiver Machado · Toulouse FC |
| 12' | ⚽ | Loïc Nestor · Grenoble |
| 16' | ⚽ | Achille Anani · Grenoble |
| 30' | ⚽ | Vakoun Issouf Bayo · Toulouse FC |
| 32' | ⚽ | Jessy Benet · Grenoble |
| 42' | ⚽ | Willy Semedo · Grenoble |
| 43' | 🟨 | Ibrahim Sangaré · Toulouse FC |
| 45' | ⚽ | Vakoun Issouf Bayo · Toulouse FC |
| 50' | 🟨 | Manu Koné · Toulouse FC |
| 69' | ⚽ | Moussa Djitté · Grenoble |
| 80' | ⚽ | Janis Antiste |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 4 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 14 | Shots | 18 |
| 8 | On target | 7 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 24 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Grenoble | Toulouse FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stade des Alpes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jordy Gaspar · Grenoble |
| coach days | 820.00 | 89.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.41 | 2.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1433.75 | 1430.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -42.82 | -36.05 |
| eye test v1 | 0.33 | -0.70 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.00 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.30 | 56.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.78 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 19.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 43.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.17 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.00 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.87 | -0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 27.13 | 22.06 |
| state index | -0.62 | -1.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.24 | -0.59 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |