← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Aug 29, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Olivier Thual, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy win | 35% | 2.81 |
| Guingamp win | 33% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy +0 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Guingamp +0 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.48 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Ernest Seka · Nancy |
| 24' | 🟨 | Ousmane Cissokho · Nancy |
| 56' | ⚽ | Yannick Gomis · Guingamp |
| 62' | 🟨 | Felix Eboa Eboa · Guingamp |
| 63' | ⚽ | Mickaël Biron · Nancy |
| 66' | 🟨 | Saliou Ciss · Nancy |
| 69' | ⚽ | Mickaël Biron · Nancy |
| 90' | ⚽ | Matthias Phaeton · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 8 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nancy | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade Marcel-Picot |
| coach days | 425.00 | 28.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.75 | 1.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1446.06 | 1482.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.76 | -31.64 |
| eye test v1 | -1.54 | 0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.10 | 56.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | — |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 59.40 |
| rest days | 6.83 | 6.83 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.25 | 0.94 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 1.70 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 27.09 | 26.30 |
| state index | -0.91 | -0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.79 | 0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.16 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |