← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sun, May 23, 01:30 PM UTC · ref: P. Ittrich
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 61% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.61 |
| Darmstadt win | 18% | 5.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt −1 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Holstein Kiel −1 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 71% | 1.35 |
| Under | 29% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Janni Serra · Holstein Kiel |
| 44' | 🟨 | Jonas Meffert · Holstein Kiel |
| 50' | 🟨 | Phil Neumann · Holstein Kiel |
| 51' | ⚽ | Serdar Dursun · Darmstadt |
| 58' | ⚽ | Serdar Dursun · Darmstadt |
| 75' | ⚽ | Immanuel Höhn · Darmstadt |
| 80' | 🟨 | Fabian Holland · Darmstadt |
| 82' | 🟨 | Marcel Schuhen · Darmstadt |
| 87' | ⚽ | Fin Bartels · Holstein Kiel |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 11 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 21 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Holstein Kiel | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Holstein-Stadion |
| coach days | 630.00 | 326.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.46 | 2.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1573.24 | 1538.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.94 | 55.60 |
| eye test v1 | -0.04 | 0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.90 | 66.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.73 |
| league points | 62.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 42.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.41 |
| season ppg | 1.88 | 1.45 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.22 | -0.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.46 | 26.95 |
| state index | 0.53 | 0.90 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.36 | -0.81 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |