← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sun, May 23, 01:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Heft
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 45% | 2.15 |
| Karlsruhe win | 30% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Karlsruhe −0.25 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 67% | 1.42 |
| Under | 33% | 2.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | ⚽ | Robin Bormuth · Karlsruhe |
| 50' | 🟨 | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
| 56' | ⚽ | Babacar Guèye · Karlsruhe |
| 69' | 🟨 | Robin Bormuth · Karlsruhe |
| 80' | ⚽ | Stefan Schimmer · Heidenheim |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kevin Müller · Heidenheim |
| 90' | 🟨 | David Pisot · Karlsruhe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 8 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| coach days | 5013.00 | 477.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 2.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1514.78 | 1484.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.52 | 11.42 |
| eye test v1 | 0.18 | -0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.50 | 60.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.42 | 0.72 |
| league points | 51.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.00 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 1.48 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.59 | -0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.06 | 27.04 |
| state index | -0.32 | -0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.24 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |