← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sun, May 23, 01:30 PM UTC · ref: H. Osmers
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 62% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.69 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 17% | 6.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth −1 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf −1 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 72% | 1.35 |
| Under | 28% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Kristoffer Peterson · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 26' | ⚽ | Kristoffer Peterson · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 43' | 🟨 | Luka Krajnc · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 44' | 🟨 | Anton Stach · Greuther Furth |
| 45' | 🟥 | Anton Stach · Greuther Furth |
| 53' | ⚽ (pen) | Branimir Hrgota · Greuther Furth |
| 56' | ⚽ | Shinta Karl Appelkamp · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 64' | 🟨 | Matthias Zimmermann · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 69' | ⚽ | Julian Green · Greuther Furth |
| 83' | ⚽ | Dickson Abiama · Greuther Furth |
| 84' |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 4 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.84 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| 🟨 |
| Dickson Abiama · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Hans Nunoo Sarpei · Greuther Furth |
| 1.20 |
| coach days | 842.00 | 508.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.25 | 3.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1576.65 | 1573.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.73 | 8.13 |
| eye test v1 | 0.85 | 0.88 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | -0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.50 | 59.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.70 |
| league points | 61.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.85 | 1.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.70 | -0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.80 | 6.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 25.44 | 26.10 |
| state index | 0.58 | 0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.17 | -0.89 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |