← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sun, May 23, 01:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Thomsen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg win | 42% | 2.35 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 30% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 −0.25 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Regensburg −0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 1.53 |
| Under | 37% | 2.58 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Jann George · Regensburg |
| 22' | 🟨 | Daniel Buballa · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 44' | ⚽ | Andreas Albers · Regensburg |
| 48' | 🟨 | Adam Dźwigała · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 64' | ⚽ | Sebastian Stolze · Regensburg |
| 82' | 🟨 | Daniel Buballa · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 82' | 🟥 | Daniel Buballa · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 22 | Shots | 3 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Jahnstadion Regensburg |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 1422.00 | 326.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | 1.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1395.09 | 1473.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.93 | -14.47 |
| eye test v1 | -0.54 | 0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.42 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 62.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.59 |
| league points | 35.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.80 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.34 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.82 | 0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.40 | 26.35 |
| state index | -1.28 | -0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.52 | 0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |