← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sun, May 23, 01:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Siewer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 42% | 2.35 |
| Nurnberg win | 33% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.03 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg −0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Hannover −0.25 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 71% | 1.37 |
| Under | 29% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Erik Shuranov · Nurnberg |
| 36' | ⚽ | Marvin Ducksch · Hannover |
| 41' | 🟨 | Tim Latteier · Nurnberg |
| 74' | ⚽ | Erik Shuranov · Nurnberg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 13 |
| 7 | On target | 8 |
| 10 | Corners | 2 |
| 6 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| venue | HDI-Arena |
| coach days | 569.00 | 326.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 2.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1476.51 | 1455.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.35 | 21.16 |
| eye test v1 | 0.49 | 0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.25 | -0.47 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.00 | 60.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.60 |
| league points | 42.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.28 | -0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 26.95 | 25.49 |
| state index | -0.28 | -0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.12 | -0.79 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |