← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sun, May 16, 01:30 PM UTC · ref: D. Siebert
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 60% | 1.61 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.33 |
| VfL Osnabruck win | 17% | 5.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfL Osnabruck +1 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Hamburger SV +1 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 1.52 |
| Under | 37% | 2.62 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | ⚽ | Christian Santos · VfL Osnabruck |
| 37' | ⚽ | Robin Meißner · Hamburger SV |
| 61' | ⚽ | Maurice Multhaup · VfL Osnabruck |
| 76' | 🟨 | Kevin Wolze · VfL Osnabruck |
| 82' | ⚽ | Tim Leibold · Hamburger SV |
| 84' | ⚽ | Marc Heider · VfL Osnabruck |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ulrich Taffertshofer · VfL Osnabruck |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 24 |
| 5 | On target | 10 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | VfL Osnabruck | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| venue | Bremer Brücke |
| 2.80 |
| coach days | 76.00 | 319.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 2.44 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1351.08 | 1563.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.63 | -23.93 |
| eye test v1 | -0.33 | 0.88 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.66 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.10 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.67 |
| league points | 30.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.00 | 61.20 |
| rest days | 8.10 | 5.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 1.72 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.08 | 1.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 28.44 | 26.29 |
| state index | -0.77 | -0.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.91 | 0.75 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |