← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sun, May 16, 01:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Hartmann
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 47% | 2.04 |
| Karlsruhe win | 26% | 3.61 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.72 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe +0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Holstein Kiel +0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.70 |
| Under | 43% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Aleksandar Ignjovski · Holstein Kiel |
| 41' | ⚽ | Janni Serra · Holstein Kiel |
| 42' | 🟨 | Philipp Hofmann · Karlsruhe |
| 52' | ⚽ | Malik Batmaz · Karlsruhe |
| 60' | ⚽ | Philipp Hofmann · Karlsruhe |
| 76' | ⚽ | Philipp Hofmann · Karlsruhe |
| 83' | 🟨 | Philip Heise · Karlsruhe |
| 84' | ⚽ (pen) | Alexander Mühling · Holstein Kiel |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 2 | Corners | 9 |
| 12 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| venue | Wildparkstadion |
| coach days | 470.00 | 623.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 1.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1473.28 | 1584.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.40 | 28.45 |
| eye test v1 | -0.48 | -0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.20 | 56.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.86 |
| league points | 46.00 | 62.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 8.10 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 1.94 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.21 | 0.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.64 | 27.16 |
| state index | -0.73 | 0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.06 | 0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |