← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sun, May 16, 01:30 PM UTC · ref: N. Winter
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Sandhausen win | 47% | 2.05 |
| Regensburg win | 27% | 3.66 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.72 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg −0.5 | 52% | 1.89 |
| SV Sandhausen −0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.72 |
| Under | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Janik Bachmann · SV Sandhausen |
| 19' | 🟨 | Philipp Klingmann · SV Sandhausen |
| 24' | 🟨 | Aleksandr Zhirov · SV Sandhausen |
| 42' | ⚽ | Kevin Behrens · SV Sandhausen |
| 48' | 🟨 | Tim Kister · SV Sandhausen |
| 53' | 🟨 | Stefanos Kapino · SV Sandhausen |
| 56' | 🟨 | Jan-Niklas Beste · Regensburg |
| 84' | 🟨 | Gerrit Nauber · SV Sandhausen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 8 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Sandhausen | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | BWT-Stadion am Hardtwald |
| coach days | 104.00 | 1415.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.63 | 2.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.24 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1405.52 | 1407.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.07 | -35.91 |
| eye test v1 | 0.27 | -0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.80 | 52.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 0.47 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.71 |
| league points | 31.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.40 | 70.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 7.08 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 0.97 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.01 | -0.85 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 8.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 29.11 | 26.17 |
| state index | -0.19 | -1.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.08 | -0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |