← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sun, May 16, 01:30 PM UTC · ref: L. Koslowski
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 41% | 2.40 |
| Hannover win | 35% | 2.77 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 −0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 71% | 1.38 |
| Under | 29% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Marvin Ducksch · Hannover |
| 20' | 🟨 | Luca Zander · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 50' | 🟨 | Jaka Bijol · Hannover |
| 53' | 🟨 | James Lawrence · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 59' | ⚽ | Niklas Hult · Hannover |
| 70' | ⚽ | Guido Burgstaller · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 74' | 🟨 | Rico Benatelli · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 80' | 🟨 | James Lawrence · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 80' | 🟥 | James Lawrence · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Martin Hansen · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 7 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC St. Pauli 1910 | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 |
| venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 319.00 | 562.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.62 | 2.76 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1485.74 | 1464.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.18 | -28.93 |
| eye test v1 | 0.62 | 0.66 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.80 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.55 |
| league points | 47.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.40 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 8.88 | 5.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.47 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.77 | 0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 26.07 | 26.60 |
| state index | 0.31 | -0.69 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.54 | -0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.20 |