← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sun, May 16, 01:30 PM UTC · ref: P. Hanslbauer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 42% | 2.29 |
| Heidenheim win | 32% | 3.04 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim −0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Darmstadt −0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.58 |
| Under | 39% | 2.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Patrick Mainka · Heidenheim |
| 12' | ⚽ | Oliver Hüsing · Heidenheim |
| 18' | ⚽ | Nicolai Rapp · Darmstadt |
| 40' | ⚽ | Serdar Dursun · Darmstadt |
| 54' | ⚽ | Serdar Dursun · Darmstadt |
| 59' | ⚽ | Serdar Dursun · Darmstadt |
| 83' | ⚽ | Serdar Dursun · Darmstadt |
| 89' | 🟨 | Tim Kleindienst · Heidenheim |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 12 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 8 | Fouls | 5 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor |
| coach days | 319.00 | 5006.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 1.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1522.29 | 1530.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 54.36 | 4.34 |
| eye test v1 | 0.06 | 0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.49 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.50 | 54.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.70 |
| league points | 45.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 67.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.00 | 44.20 |
| rest days | 8.88 | 7.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.41 | 1.59 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.96 | -1.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.53 | 26.96 |
| state index | 0.60 | 0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.31 | -0.71 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |