← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Mon, May 10, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Zwayer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 59% | 1.66 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.33 |
| Nurnberg win | 19% | 5.38 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg −1 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Hamburger SV −1 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.60 |
| Under | 40% | 2.44 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Josha Vagnoman · Hamburger SV |
| 30' | ⚽ | Robin Meißner · Hamburger SV |
| 36' | ⚽ | Bakery Jatta · Hamburger SV |
| 41' | ⚽ | Erik Shuranov · Nurnberg |
| 45' | ⚽ | Simon Terodde · Hamburger SV |
| 75' | ⚽ | Sonny Kittel · Hamburger SV |
| 80' | ⚽ (pen) | Simon Terodde · Hamburger SV |
| 89' | ⚽ | Linus Rosenlocher · Nurnberg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 13 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hamburger SV | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Volksparkstadion |
| coach days | 313.00 | 313.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.45 | 1.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1553.25 | 1463.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.39 | 39.20 |
| eye test v1 | 0.68 | 0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.20 | 64.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.67 |
| league points | 52.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.80 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 11.08 | 13.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.68 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.73 | -0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 27.75 | 25.47 |
| state index | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.44 | -1.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |