← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sun, May 9, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: M. Jöllenbeck
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 37% | 2.69 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 35% | 2.80 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.47 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim +0 | 50% | 1.94 |
| SV Sandhausen +0 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.78 |
| Under | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Konstantin Kerschbaumer · Heidenheim |
| 21' | 🟨 | Erik Zenga · SV Sandhausen |
| 43' | ⚽ | Daniel Keita-Ruel · SV Sandhausen |
| 54' | 🟨 | Oliver Hüsing · Heidenheim |
| 58' | 🟨 | Tim Kister · SV Sandhausen |
| 59' | ⚽ | Patrick Mainka · Heidenheim |
| 79' | 🟨 | Marc Schnatterer · Heidenheim |
| 81' | ⚽ | Tim Kleindienst · Heidenheim |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 15 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| coach days | 4999.00 | 97.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 1.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1525.41 | 1410.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.39 | 24.53 |
| eye test v1 | -0.13 | 0.80 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.33 | 0.71 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.20 | 59.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.70 |
| league points | 48.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.20 | 70.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.40 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 15.02 | 4.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.42 | -0.84 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 27.12 | 28.54 |
| state index | 0.15 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.13 | -1.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.00 |