← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sun, May 9, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: S. Stegemann
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 62% | 1.56 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.42 |
| Regensburg win | 16% | 6.16 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum −1 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Regensburg −1 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 1.54 |
| Under | 37% | 2.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Scott Kennedy · Regensburg |
| 26' | ⚽ | Andreas Albers · Regensburg |
| 29' | ⚽ | Robert Tesche · Bochum |
| 38' | ⚽ (og) | Jan-Niklas Beste · Bochum |
| 53' | 🟨 | Anthony Losilla · Bochum |
| 59' | 🟥 | Benedikt Saller · Regensburg |
| 61' | ⚽ | Gerrit Holtmann · Bochum |
| 78' | ⚽ | Robert Žulj · Bochum |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Silvère Ganvoula · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 3 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| coach days | 616.00 | 1408.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.99 | 3.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1575.56 | 1420.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.32 | -14.63 |
| eye test v1 | -0.29 | 0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 57.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 0.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.50 | 0.75 |
| league points | 60.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 70.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.40 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 12.71 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.94 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.55 | -0.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 28.42 | 25.66 |
| state index | 0.08 | -0.65 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.71 | -0.74 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |