← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sat, May 8, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: T. Reichel
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 66% | 1.46 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.75 |
| Braunschweig win | 12% | 7.98 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf −1 | 55% | 1.75 |
| Braunschweig −1 | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.85 |
| Under | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Dominik Wydra · Braunschweig |
| 25' | 🟨 | Yassin Ben Balla · Braunschweig |
| 39' | 🟨 | Adam Bodzek · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 41' | 🟨 | Benjamin Kessel · Braunschweig |
| 42' | ⚽ (pen) | Dawid Kownacki · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 51' | ⚽ | Marcel Bär · Braunschweig |
| 60' | ⚽ | Shinta Karl Appelkamp · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 68' | ⚽ | Fabio Kaufmann · Braunschweig |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fortuna Dusseldorf | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.17 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.81 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 |
| venue | Merkur Spiel-Arena |
| 1.20 |
| coach days | 493.00 | 554.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.30 | 1.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1570.35 | 1398.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.46 | -14.47 |
| eye test v1 | 0.82 | -1.69 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.70 | 58.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.78 |
| league points | 52.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.40 | 41.00 |
| rest days | 4.69 | 14.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.68 | 0.97 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 6.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.45 | -0.95 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.90 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 1.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 1.60 |
| squad age | 27.20 | 28.82 |
| state index | 0.68 | -0.76 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.30 | 0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |