← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Fri, May 7, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Aarnink
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 39% | 2.51 |
| Hannover win | 35% | 2.76 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt +0 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Hannover +0 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 64% | 1.53 |
| Under | 36% | 2.62 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Hendrik Weydandt · Hannover |
| 13' | 🟨 | Sei Muroya · Hannover |
| 16' | 🟨 | Victor Pálsson · Darmstadt |
| 50' | ⚽ | Marvin Ducksch · Hannover |
| 55' | ⚽ | Marvin Mehlem · Darmstadt |
| 62' | 🟨 | Nicolai Rapp · Darmstadt |
| 68' | ⚽ | Mathias Honsak · Darmstadt |
| 82' | 🟨 | Jaka Bijol · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 10 |
| 14 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | HDI-Arena |
| coach days | 553.00 | 310.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.55 | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1480.62 | 1511.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -45.57 | 33.73 |
| eye test v1 | 0.65 | 0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.41 | -0.54 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 66.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.74 |
| league points | 39.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.00 | 41.60 |
| rest days | 12.21 | 10.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.39 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.70 | -0.78 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 27.96 | 26.82 |
| state index | -0.68 | 0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.48 | -1.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |