← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Tue, May 4, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Stieler
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 47% | 2.12 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 27% | 3.56 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.64 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| SV Sandhausen −0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.68 |
| Under | 43% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | Fin Bartels · Holstein Kiel |
| 60' | 🟨 | Emanuel Taffertshofer · SV Sandhausen |
| 69' | ⚽ | Janni Serra · Holstein Kiel |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Holstein Kiel | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 |
| venue | Holstein-Stadion |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 611.00 | 92.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.06 | 1.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1555.30 | 1418.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.48 | 21.73 |
| eye test v1 | -0.57 | 0.75 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.53 | 0.76 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.20 | 61.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.70 |
| league points | 50.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 70.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 1.79 | 1.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.76 | -0.78 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 26.64 | 28.68 |
| state index | 0.01 | -0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.31 | -1.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.00 |