← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Mon, Apr 26, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: B. Dankert
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 42% | 2.31 |
| Darmstadt win | 32% | 3.09 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt +0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Bochum +0.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under | 39% | 2.51 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Fabian Holland · Darmstadt |
| 56' | 🟨 | Matthias Bader · Darmstadt |
| 72' | 🟨 | Serdar Dursun · Darmstadt |
| 74' | ⚽ | Robert Tesche · Bochum |
| 79' | ⚽ | Christian Clemens · Darmstadt |
| 81' | ⚽ | Serdar Dursun · Darmstadt |
| 86' | ⚽ | Serdar Dursun · Darmstadt |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tobias Kempe · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 15 | Fouls | 4 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| venue | Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor |
| coach days | 299.00 | 603.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.91 | 2.56 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1494.84 | 1592.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.99 | 32.05 |
| eye test v1 | 0.54 | 0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.42 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.60 | 56.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.74 |
| league points | 39.00 | 60.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.20 | 56.00 |
| rest days | 6.08 | 5.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.63 | 0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.12 | 28.36 |
| state index | 0.10 | 0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.04 | 0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |