← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sat, Apr 24, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: B. Cortus
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 54% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.86 |
| VfL Osnabruck win | 21% | 4.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfL Osnabruck +0.75 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Holstein Kiel +0.75 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.92 |
| Under | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Janni Serra · Holstein Kiel |
| 23' | ⚽ (og) | Bashkim Ajdini · Holstein Kiel |
| 43' | 🟨 | Jannik Dehm · Holstein Kiel |
| 45' | ⚽ | Fin Bartels · Holstein Kiel |
| 53' | ⚽ | Sebastian Kerk · VfL Osnabruck |
| 68' | 🟨 | Timo Beermann · VfL Osnabruck |
| 80' | 🟨 | Johannes van den Bergh · Holstein Kiel |
| 82' | 🟨 | Jonas Meffert · Holstein Kiel |
| 90' | 🟨 | Bryan Henning · VfL Osnabruck |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 9 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | VfL Osnabruck | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Bremer Brücke |
| 0.80 |
| coach days | 54.00 | 601.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.28 | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1342.46 | 1547.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.85 | -18.20 |
| eye test v1 | -0.98 | 0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.39 | -0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 45.80 | 55.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.73 |
| league points | 27.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.80 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.20 | 57.80 |
| rest days | 2.77 | 17.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 0.90 | 1.77 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.97 | 0.83 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 28.75 | 27.55 |
| state index | -1.36 | -0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.18 | 1.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |