← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sat, Apr 24, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: S. Stegemann
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 36% | 2.68 |
| Nurnberg win | 35% | 2.74 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.46 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim +0 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Nurnberg +0 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.91 |
| Over | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Johannes Geis · Nurnberg |
| 13' | 🟨 | Robert Leipertz · Heidenheim |
| 19' | ⚽ (pen) | Tim Kleindienst · Heidenheim |
| 26' | ⚽ | Fabian Nürnberger · Nurnberg |
| 54' | ⚽ | Tom Krauß · Nurnberg |
| 59' | 🟨 | Stefan Schimmer · Heidenheim |
| 80' | 🟨 | Oliver Hüsing · Heidenheim |
| 84' | 🟨 | Andreas Geipl · Heidenheim |
| 90' | 🟨 | Stefan Schimmer · Heidenheim |
| 90' | 🟥 | Stefan Schimmer · Heidenheim |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| coach days | 297.00 | 4984.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 1.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1446.43 | 1541.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.67 | 13.87 |
| eye test v1 | 0.99 | -0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | 0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.70 | 50.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.73 |
| league points | 36.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 66.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 39.00 |
| rest days | 3.77 | 2.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 1.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.60 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.31 | -1.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.23 | 26.51 |
| state index | 0.17 | 0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.15 | -1.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |