← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Thu, Apr 22, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: H. Osmers
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 59% | 1.65 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.15 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 17% | 6.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Sandhausen +1 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Hamburger SV +1 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.66 |
| Under | 42% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | 🟨 | Simon Terodde · Hamburger SV |
| 46' | ⚽ (og) | Stephan Kofi Ambrosius · SV Sandhausen |
| 51' | ⚽ | Daniel Keita-Ruel · SV Sandhausen |
| 68' | 🟨 | Moritz Heyer · Hamburger SV |
| 71' | 🟨 | Amadou Onana · Hamburger SV |
| 76' | ⚽ | Manuel Wintzheimer · Hamburger SV |
| 90' | 🟨 | Khaled Narey · Hamburger SV |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Sandhausen | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 |
| venue | BWT-Stadion am Hardtwald |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | 80.00 | 295.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 2.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1393.45 | 1572.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.19 | 12.86 |
| eye test v1 | -1.02 | 0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.70 | 58.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.65 |
| league points | 25.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.40 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 18.29 | 13.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.93 | 1.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.46 | 0.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 28.81 | 27.51 |
| state index | -0.00 | 0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.03 | -0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |