← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Wed, Apr 21, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Siewer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 52% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.79 |
| Regensburg win | 22% | 4.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Regensburg −0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.86 |
| Under | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Genki Haraguchi · Hannover |
| 14' | ⚽ | Hendrik Weydandt · Hannover |
| 32' | 🟨 | Sei Muroya · Hannover |
| 56' | 🟨 | Christoph Moritz · Regensburg |
| 57' | ⚽ | Andreas Albers · Regensburg |
| 66' | 🟨 | Erik Wekesser · Regensburg |
| 82' | ⚽ | Marvin Ducksch · Hannover |
| 85' | 🟨 | Valmir Sulejmani · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 14 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 6 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.47 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | HDI-Arena |
| coach days | 537.00 | 1390.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.31 | 3.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1486.86 | 1428.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.19 | -16.63 |
| eye test v1 | 0.44 | 0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.40 | 57.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.78 |
| league points | 36.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.60 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 3.21 | 3.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.58 | -0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 27.77 | 26.11 |
| state index | -1.00 | -0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.74 | -0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |