← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Tue, Apr 20, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: C. Günsch
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 48% | 2.00 |
| FC Wurzburger Kickers win | 26% | 3.71 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.97 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Wurzburger Kickers +0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Darmstadt +0.5 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.56 |
| Under | 39% | 2.53 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | 🟨 | Rajiv Van La Parra · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 44' | 🟨 | Lars Dietz · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 45' | 🟨 | Arne Feick · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Serdar Dursun · Darmstadt |
| 53' | 🟨 | Rolf Feltscher · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 63' | ⚽ | Lars Dietz · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 67' | 🟨 | Rajiv Van La Parra · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 67' | 🟥 | Rajiv Van La Parra · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 79' | ⚽ | Tim Skarke · Darmstadt |
| 89' | 🟨 | Serdar Dursun · Darmstadt |
| 90' |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 13 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 8 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Wurzburger Kickers | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 |
| venue | flyeralarm-Arena |
| ⚽ |
| Felix Platte · Darmstadt |
| 2.40 |
| coach days | 19.00 | 293.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 2.04 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1342.97 | 1483.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.58 | 20.20 |
| eye test v1 | -0.87 | 0.76 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.60 | 67.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| league points | 20.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 13.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.40 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.60 | 42.80 |
| rest days | 3.23 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 0.69 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.80 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.33 | -0.78 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 27.43 | 27.24 |
| state index | -0.80 | 0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.56 | -1.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |