← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sun, Apr 18, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: S. Jablonski
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 51% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.74 |
| VfL Osnabruck win | 22% | 4.35 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf +0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| VfL Osnabruck +0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.86 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | ⚽ | Kristoffer Peterson · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 50' | ⚽ (pen) | Dawid Kownacki · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 58' | 🟨 | Maurice Trapp · VfL Osnabruck |
| 67' | ⚽ | Marcel Sobottka · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 75' | 🟨 | Ludovit Reis · VfL Osnabruck |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 18 |
| 3 | On target | 9 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 19 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | VfL Osnabruck | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 |
| venue | Bremer Brücke |
| 1.40 |
| coach days | 48.00 | 473.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.06 | 3.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1347.21 | 1554.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.39 | -16.35 |
| eye test v1 | -1.30 | 0.94 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 44.80 | 53.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.53 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.73 |
| league points | 26.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.20 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 3.79 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.93 | 1.59 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.84 | -0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 28.24 | 27.19 |
| state index | -1.10 | 0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.09 | -0.78 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |