← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sat, Apr 17, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: C. Dingert
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 57% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.09 |
| FC Wurzburger Kickers win | 19% | 5.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 −0.75 | 51% | 1.95 |
| FC Wurzburger Kickers −0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.64 |
| Under | 41% | 2.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Omar Marmoush · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 18' | ⚽ | Rico Benatelli · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 22' | ⚽ | Leart Paqarada · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 50' | ⚽ | Daniel-Kofi Kyereh · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 59' | 🟨 | Maximilian Dittgen · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 1 |
| 7 | On target | 0 |
| 7 | Corners | 0 |
| 9 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC St. Pauli 1910 | FC Wurzburger Kickers |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | — |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
| coach days | 290.00 | 16.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.59 | 1.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1487.91 | 1352.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.91 | 4.19 |
| eye test v1 | 0.53 | -0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.80 | 61.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.70 |
| league points | 41.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 67.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.40 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.46 | 0.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.63 | -1.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 25.84 | 26.52 |
| state index | 0.48 | -0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.36 | -0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |