← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Fri, Apr 16, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: N. Winter
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 44% | 2.17 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.56 |
| Braunschweig win | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 +0.25 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Braunschweig +0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.87 |
| Under | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | 🟨 | Frederic Ananou · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 76' | 🟨 | Sebastian Vasiliadis · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 89' | 🟨 | Jasmin Fejzić · Braunschweig |
| 89' | 🟨 | Johannes Dörfler · SC Paderborn 07 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 4 | Shots | 11 |
| 0 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 12 |
| 11 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Braunschweig | SC Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.57 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.49 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 |
| venue | Eintracht-Stadion |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 532.00 | 1476.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.87 | 2.28 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1423.24 | 1504.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.54 | 11.71 |
| eye test v1 | -0.48 | 0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.90 | 55.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | — |
| league points | 29.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.80 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 6.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 1.04 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.67 | -0.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 28.62 | 25.83 |
| state index | 0.19 | 0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.27 | -0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |