← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Fri, Apr 16, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Willenborg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 45% | 2.12 |
| Darmstadt win | 29% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.88 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth +0.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Darmstadt +0.25 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.56 |
| Under | 38% | 2.56 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Tobias Kempe · Darmstadt |
| 21' | 🟨 | Paul Jaeckel · Greuther Furth |
| 40' | ⚽ | Serdar Dursun · Darmstadt |
| 69' | ⚽ | Julian Green · Greuther Furth |
| 75' | ⚽ | David Raum · Greuther Furth |
| 89' | 🟨 | Anton Stach · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nicolai Rapp · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 15 |
| 3 | On target | 9 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor |
| coach days | 289.00 | 805.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 4.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 2.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1482.68 | 1562.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 32.50 | 4.00 |
| eye test v1 | 1.25 | 0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.80 | 60.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.71 |
| league points | 35.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.00 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.40 | 59.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 13.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.85 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.17 | 0.86 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.15 | 25.40 |
| state index | 0.31 | 0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.97 | 0.86 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |