← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sun, Apr 11, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: S. Stegemann
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfL Osnabruck win | 41% | 2.35 |
| Braunschweig win | 30% | 3.44 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig −0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| VfL Osnabruck −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.61 |
| Over | 40% | 2.41 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Suleiman Abdullahi · Braunschweig |
| 51' | ⚽ (pen) | Martin Kobylański · Braunschweig |
| 54' | ⚽ | Suleiman Abdullahi · Braunschweig |
| 57' | 🟨 | Dominik Wydra · Braunschweig |
| 63' | 🟨 | Yassin Ben Balla · Braunschweig |
| 66' | ⚽ | Martin Kobylański · Braunschweig |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 10 |
| 1 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | VfL Osnabruck | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.20 |
| venue | Bremer Brücke |
| coach days | 41.00 | 527.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.08 | 2.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1377.32 | 1402.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.80 | 4.58 |
| eye test v1 | -1.05 | -1.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.30 | 63.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.53 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.74 |
| league points | 26.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.20 | 68.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.20 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 5.71 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 0.96 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.15 | -0.82 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 28.10 | 28.74 |
| state index | -0.87 | -0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.26 | -0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |