← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sun, Apr 11, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: T. Reichel
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 49% | 1.96 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.78 |
| FC Wurzburger Kickers win | 25% | 3.93 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Wurzburger Kickers +0.5 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Nurnberg +0.5 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.78 |
| Under | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Erik Shuranov · Nurnberg |
| 19' | 🟨 | Lukas Mühl · Nurnberg |
| 32' | 🟨 | Enrico Valentini · Nurnberg |
| 42' | 🟨 | Patrick Sontheimer · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 43' | 🟨 | Tom Krauß · Nurnberg |
| 48' | 🟨 | Manuel Schäffler · Nurnberg |
| 78' | ⚽ | Lars Dietz · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 82' | 🟨 | Ridge Munsy · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 90' | 🟨 | Vladimir Nikolov · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 8 | Fouls | 21 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Wurzburger Kickers | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 |
| venue | flyeralarm-Arena |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 10.00 | 284.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 2.44 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1351.48 | 1435.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.69 | 2.10 |
| eye test v1 | -0.68 | 0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.60 | 58.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.59 |
| league points | 19.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.20 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.80 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 2.79 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 0.70 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.80 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.18 | -0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 26.18 | 25.67 |
| state index | -0.63 | -0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.69 | -1.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |