← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sun, Apr 11, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: L. Koslowski
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 41% | 2.36 |
| Heidenheim win | 30% | 3.21 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.41 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Hannover −0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.91 |
| Over | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 43' | ⚽ | Marnon Busch · Heidenheim |
| 51' | ⚽ | Florent Muslija · Hannover |
| 75' | ⚽ | Robert Leipertz · Heidenheim |
| 79' | ⚽ | Stefan Schimmer · Heidenheim |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 3 | Fouls | 18 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.47 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.15 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | HDI-Arena |
| coach days | 527.00 | 4971.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.14 | 1.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1510.01 | 1526.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.35 | 3.71 |
| eye test v1 | 0.02 | -1.04 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.33 | -0.70 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.90 | 45.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.70 |
| league points | 36.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 71.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.60 | 43.00 |
| rest days | 2.79 | 4.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.44 | -0.97 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 27.89 | 26.55 |
| state index | -0.57 | 0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.84 | -0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |