← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sat, Apr 10, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: T. Siewer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 43% | 2.26 |
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 30% | 3.22 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.64 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 +0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Bochum +0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.70 |
| Under | 43% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Miloš Pantović · Bochum |
| 36' | ⚽ | Julian Justvan · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 39' | ⚽ | Sven Michel · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 73' | ⚽ | Christopher Antwi-Adjei · SC Paderborn 07 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 16 |
| 11 | On target | 2 |
| 0 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.55 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Benteler-Arena |
| coach days | 1470.00 | 587.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 2.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1484.87 | 1588.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.23 | 27.89 |
| eye test v1 | 0.48 | 0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.42 | -0.56 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 60.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.75 |
| league points | 35.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.40 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.41 | -0.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 26.27 | 27.77 |
| state index | -0.29 | 0.75 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.36 | 0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |