← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Tue, Apr 6, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Bacher
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 37% | 2.58 |
| Holstein Kiel win | 34% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.42 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Holstein Kiel +0 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Tim Kleindienst · Heidenheim |
| 44' | 🟨 | Christian Kühlwetter · Heidenheim |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marc Schnatterer · Heidenheim |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 7 |
| 15 | Fouls | 2 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.57 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.48 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| coach days | 4966.00 | 583.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1517.01 | 1556.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.48 | -5.45 |
| eye test v1 | -0.88 | 0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.71 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 43.90 | 56.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.74 |
| league points | 39.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.40 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.60 | 58.20 |
| rest days | 3.23 | 3.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.84 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.31 | 0.91 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.77 | 27.70 |
| state index | -0.16 | 0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.78 | 1.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |