← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Mon, Apr 5, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Aarnink
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 55% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.00 |
| Braunschweig win | 20% | 5.06 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig −0.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 −0.75 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.86 |
| Under | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Omar Marmoush · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 14' | ⚽ | Daniel-Kofi Kyereh · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 28' | 🟨 | Daniel-Kofi Kyereh · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 28' | 🟨 | Felix Kroos · Braunschweig |
| 59' | 🟨 | Luca Zander · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 7 |
| 7 | On target | 0 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC St. Pauli 1910 | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
| 3.20 |
| coach days | 278.00 | 521.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.91 | 2.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1460.04 | 1413.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.73 | 30.41 |
| eye test v1 | -0.14 | -0.66 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.29 | 0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.90 | 65.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.75 |
| league points | 35.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.60 | 69.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 15.25 | 16.27 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.37 | -0.72 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.18 | 29.05 |
| state index | 0.17 | 0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.40 | -0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |