← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sun, Apr 4, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: T. Reichel
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 36% | 2.75 |
| Darmstadt win | 36% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.47 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt +0 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf +0 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Jakub Piotrowski · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 20' | ⚽ | Luka Krajnc · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 37' | ⚽ (pen) | Serdar Dursun · Darmstadt |
| 62' | ⚽ | Dawid Kownacki · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fabian Holland · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 9 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 |
| venue | Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor |
| 2.40 |
| coach days | 277.00 | 459.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 3.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1477.72 | 1544.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.56 | -18.66 |
| eye test v1 | 0.58 | 0.81 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 69.70 | 54.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.71 |
| league points | 32.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.00 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 14.98 | 12.67 |
| scorer concentration | 0.37 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.54 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.05 | -0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 27.45 | 27.22 |
| state index | 0.15 | -0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.26 | -0.74 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |