← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sun, Apr 4, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: F. Badstübner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 42% | 2.29 |
| Hannover win | 30% | 3.23 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.56 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover +0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Hamburger SV +0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.87 |
| Under | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Aaron Hunt · Hamburger SV |
| 34' | ⚽ | Aaron Hunt · Hamburger SV |
| 50' | ⚽ | Aaron Hunt · Hamburger SV |
| 56' | ⚽ | Genki Haraguchi · Hannover |
| 68' | ⚽ | Marvin Ducksch · Hannover |
| 76' | 🟨 | Moritz Heyer · Hamburger SV |
| 82' | 🟨 | Amadou Onana · Hamburger SV |
| 84' | ⚽ | Genki Haraguchi · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 10 | Shots | 13 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | HDI-Arena |
| coach days | 520.00 | 277.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.21 | 2.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1526.15 | 1587.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.10 | 1.07 |
| eye test v1 | -0.11 | 0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.41 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.80 | 55.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.73 |
| league points | 35.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 28.98 | 14.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.46 | 1.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.44 | 0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 28.77 | 26.16 |
| state index | -0.05 | 0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.10 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |