← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sat, Apr 3, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: F. Lechner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 51% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| VfL Osnabruck win | 22% | 4.45 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe −0.5 | 51% | 1.91 |
| VfL Osnabruck −0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.87 |
| Over | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 42' | 🟨 | Kevin Wimmer · Karlsruhe |
| 48' | ⚽ | Christian Santos · VfL Osnabruck |
| 67' | 🟨 | Kevin Wolze · VfL Osnabruck |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | VfL Osnabruck |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Wildparkstadion |
| coach days | 427.00 | 33.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1493.69 | 1362.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.68 | -35.34 |
| eye test v1 | -0.11 | -0.82 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.00 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.20 | 50.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.65 |
| league points | 42.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.80 | 69.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 14.73 | 12.94 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.62 | 0.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.26 | -0.86 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.30 | 27.26 |
| state index | -0.13 | -1.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.05 | -0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |