← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sat, Apr 3, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: M. Petersen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 42% | 2.33 |
| Holstein Kiel win | 30% | 3.30 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.44 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel −0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Bochum −0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.81 |
| Under | 46% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Simon Zoller · Bochum |
| 21' | 🟨 | Robert Tesche · Bochum |
| 60' | 🟨 | Hauke Wahl · Holstein Kiel |
| 60' | ⚽ | Simon Zoller · Bochum |
| 62' | 🟨 | Miloš Pantović · Bochum |
| 81' | ⚽ (pen) | Alexander Mühling · Holstein Kiel |
| 90' | 🟨 | Robert Žulj · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.53 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.54 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| coach days | 580.00 | 580.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.07 | 2.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1580.88 | 1564.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.68 | 21.65 |
| eye test v1 | 0.38 | 0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.60 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.80 | 54.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.77 |
| league points | 51.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 57.80 |
| rest days | 11.65 | 25.65 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.96 | 1.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.01 | 0.98 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.80 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 28.28 | 27.24 |
| state index | 0.50 | 0.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.13 | 1.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |