← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Mon, Mar 22, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: D. Aytekin
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 37% | 2.66 |
| Bochum win | 35% | 2.76 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.46 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf +0 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Bochum +0 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Simon Zoller · Bochum |
| 35' | ⚽ | Gerrit Holtmann · Bochum |
| 62' | 🟨 | Alfredo Morales · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 76' | 🟨 | Danilo Soares · Bochum |
| 87' | ⚽ | Soma Novothny · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 18 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 6 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fortuna Dusseldorf | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Merkur Spiel-Arena |
| coach days | 446.00 | 568.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.74 | 1.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1565.66 | 1560.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.47 | -5.98 |
| eye test v1 | 0.79 | 0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.42 | -0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.20 | 60.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.71 |
| league points | 40.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 9.31 | 10.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 1.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.41 | -0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 27.38 | 27.64 |
| state index | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.67 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |