← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sun, Mar 21, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Jöllenbeck
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg win | 39% | 2.53 |
| FC Wurzburger Kickers win | 32% | 3.08 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg +0 | 55% | 1.77 |
| FC Wurzburger Kickers +0 | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.85 |
| Under | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | Ridge Munsy · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 43' | 🟨 | David Otto · Regensburg |
| 48' | 🟨 | Jann George · Regensburg |
| 51' | 🟨 | Benedikt Saller · Regensburg |
| 54' | 🟨 | Charalambos Makridis · Regensburg |
| 65' | 🟨 | Dominic Baumann · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 75' | ⚽ | Andreas Albers · Regensburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 20 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 9 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Wurzburger Kickers | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 |
| venue | flyeralarm-Arena |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 201.00 | 1359.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 2.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1341.40 | 1435.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.86 | -9.11 |
| eye test v1 | -0.29 | -0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.60 | 55.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.77 |
| league points | 15.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.40 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.80 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 15.79 | 3.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 0.63 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.11 | -0.43 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 28.61 | 25.80 |
| state index | -0.78 | -0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.86 | -0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |