← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sat, Mar 20, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Gerach
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 41% | 2.36 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Braunschweig win | 29% | 3.55 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig +0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Darmstadt +0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.78 |
| Over | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Serdar Dursun · Darmstadt |
| 13' | ⚽ | Victor Pálsson · Darmstadt |
| 16' | 🟨 | Fabian Holland · Darmstadt |
| 17' | ⚽ (pen) | Nick Proschwitz · Braunschweig |
| 24' | 🟨 | Victor Pálsson · Darmstadt |
| 31' | 🟨 | Nick Proschwitz · Braunschweig |
| 35' | 🟨 | Brian Behrendt · Braunschweig |
| 50' | 🟨 | Jannis Nikolaou · Braunschweig |
| 63' | 🟨 | Danilo Wiebe · Braunschweig |
| 73' | 🟨 | Dominik Wydra · Braunschweig |
| 73' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 9 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Braunschweig | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Eintracht-Stadion |
| 78' | 🟨 | Felix Kroos · Braunschweig |
| coach days | 505.00 | 262.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.79 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1413.01 | 1477.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.17 | 14.22 |
| eye test v1 | -1.01 | 0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.70 | 68.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.70 |
| league points | 25.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.00 | 67.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.04 | -1.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 29.03 | 26.52 |
| state index | -0.00 | 0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.44 | -1.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |