← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sat, Mar 20, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Siewer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 40% | 2.41 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 32% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzgebirge AUE +0 | 56% | 1.75 |
| SV Sandhausen +0 | 44% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | 🟨 | Janik Bachmann · SV Sandhausen |
| 42' | 🟨 | Tim Kister · SV Sandhausen |
| 54' | ⚽ | Florian Krüger · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 64' | 🟨 | Ognjen Gnjatic · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 67' | 🟨 | Gerrit Nauber · SV Sandhausen |
| 69' | ⚽ | Pascal Testroet · Erzgebirge AUE |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erzgebirge AUE | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.10 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| venue | Erzgebirgsstadion |
| 2.40 |
| coach days | 597.00 | 47.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.77 | 2.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1454.41 | 1396.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.02 | -5.50 |
| eye test v1 | -0.24 | -0.95 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | -0.56 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.20 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.76 |
| league points | 33.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 65.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 0.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.59 | -1.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 28.26 | 28.81 |
| state index | -0.62 | -0.61 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.47 | -0.48 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |