← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sat, Mar 20, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: C. Günsch
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 49% | 1.99 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Heidenheim win | 24% | 4.14 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim −0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Hamburger SV −0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.90 |
| Under | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Tim Leibold · Hamburger SV |
| 31' | 🟨 | Tim Kleindienst · Heidenheim |
| 50' | ⚽ | Tim Leibold · Hamburger SV |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 8 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hamburger SV | Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Volksparkstadion |
| coach days | 262.00 | 4949.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.71 | 2.15 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1576.75 | 1538.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.69 | 37.03 |
| eye test v1 | -0.09 | 0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.40 | 43.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.76 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.67 |
| league points | 46.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 43.60 |
| rest days | 7.77 | 14.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.37 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.84 | 1.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.35 | -0.90 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 26.53 | 26.68 |
| state index | 0.27 | 0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.56 | -1.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |