← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Fri, Mar 19, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: H. Osmers
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 40% | 2.48 |
| Karlsruhe win | 32% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.51 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe −0.25 | 54% | 1.79 |
| SC Paderborn 07 −0.25 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.76 |
| Under | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Philipp Hofmann · Karlsruhe |
| 39' | 🟨 | Ron Schallenberg · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 44' | 🟨 | Jamilu Collins · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 51' | 🟨 | Robin Bormuth · Karlsruhe |
| 53' | ⚽ | Dennis Srbeny · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 69' | ⚽ | Chris Führich · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 89' | 🟨 | Jamilu Collins · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 89' | 🟥 | Jamilu Collins · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 90' | ⚽ | Babacar Guèye · Karlsruhe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 19 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Benteler-Arena |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 1448.00 | 412.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 0.82 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1497.02 | 1491.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.75 | -0.40 |
| eye test v1 | 0.32 | -0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 63.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.83 |
| league points | 34.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 71.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.20 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 3.92 | 5.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.59 | -0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.46 | 26.12 |
| state index | 0.04 | 0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.30 | 0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.00 |