← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Wed, Mar 17, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Hartmann
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 48% | 2.02 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.57 |
| Regensburg win | 24% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg +0.5 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Greuther Furth +0.5 | 49% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.91 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Branimir Hrgota · Greuther Furth |
| 64' | ⚽ | Branimir Hrgota · Greuther Furth |
| 67' | ⚽ | Jann George · Regensburg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Anton Stach · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 16 |
| 3 | On target | 8 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 18 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Jahnstadion Regensburg |
| coach days | 1355.00 | 775.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.55 | 2.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1444.65 | 1547.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.20 | 7.60 |
| eye test v1 | -0.49 | -0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.10 | 59.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.70 |
| league points | 29.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.00 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 19.00 | 11.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.28 | -0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 25.54 | 25.99 |
| state index | -0.10 | 0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.20 | -0.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |