← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sun, Mar 14, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Heft
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 49% | 1.99 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.75 |
| Braunschweig win | 24% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig −0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Karlsruhe −0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over | 41% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | Brian Behrendt · Braunschweig |
| 49' | 🟨 | Lukas Fröde · Karlsruhe |
| 59' | 🟨 | Benjamin Goller · Karlsruhe |
| 77' | 🟨 | Oumar Diakhite · Braunschweig |
| 83' | 🟨 | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
| 87' | 🟨 | Felix Kroos · Braunschweig |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 16 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Wildparkstadion |
| coach days | 407.00 | 499.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 2.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1495.83 | 1409.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.51 | 12.24 |
| eye test v1 | -0.01 | -0.88 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.37 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.70 | 64.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.70 |
| league points | 40.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.00 | 67.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.44 | -0.95 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.20 | 29.09 |
| state index | -0.00 | -0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.14 | -0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |