← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Fri, Mar 12, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Brych
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 38% | 2.58 |
| Bochum win | 34% | 2.87 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.42 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Bochum +0 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.74 |
| Under | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | ⚽ | Amadou Onana · Hamburger SV |
| 35' | 🟥 | Danny Blum · Bochum |
| 41' | 🟨 | Josha Vagnoman · Hamburger SV |
| 46' | 🟨 | Amadou Onana · Hamburger SV |
| 55' | 🟨 | Bakery Jatta · Hamburger SV |
| 74' | 🟨 | Robert Tesche · Bochum |
| 89' | 🟨 | Anthony Losilla · Bochum |
| 89' | ⚽ | Khaled Narey · Hamburger SV |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 8 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 10 | Corners | 1 |
| 19 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| coach days | 558.00 | 254.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 2.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1578.52 | 1558.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.79 | -32.72 |
| eye test v1 | 1.22 | 0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.00 | 54.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.72 |
| league points | 48.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 60.80 |
| rest days | 6.23 | 3.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.39 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.10 | 0.99 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.70 | 26.76 |
| state index | 0.72 | -0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.05 | 1.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |