← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sat, Mar 6, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Jablonski
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 37% | 2.69 |
| Bochum win | 34% | 2.84 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth +0 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Bochum +0 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.73 |
| Under | 44% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Anthony Losilla · Bochum |
| 18' | ⚽ | Anton Stach · Greuther Furth |
| 22' | 🟨 | Cristian Gamboa · Bochum |
| 41' | 🟨 | Anthony Losilla · Bochum |
| 61' | ⚽ (pen) | Robert Žulj · Bochum |
| 80' | 🟨 | Sebastian Ernst · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 19 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.49 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| coach days | 764.00 | 552.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.70 | 1.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1559.30 | 1567.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 31.63 | -5.81 |
| eye test v1 | -0.27 | 1.47 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.40 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.40 | 64.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.76 |
| league points | 43.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 57.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.87 | 1.96 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.22 | 0.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 6.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 7.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 7.80 |
| squad age | 24.76 | 29.29 |
| state index | 0.64 | 0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.02 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |