← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Fri, Mar 5, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: D. Schlager
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 44% | 2.22 |
| Darmstadt win | 29% | 3.44 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 −0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Darmstadt −0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.83 |
| Under | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Patric Pfeiffer · Darmstadt |
| 13' | 🟨 | Sebastian Schonlau · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 16' | 🟨 | Mathias Honsak · Darmstadt |
| 19' | ⚽ (pen) | Serdar Dursun · Darmstadt |
| 24' | ⚽ (pen) | Dennis Srbeny · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 55' | ⚽ | Chris Führich · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 68' | ⚽ | Marvin Mehlem · Darmstadt |
| 71' | 🟨 | Fabian Holland · Darmstadt |
| 75' | ⚽ | Serdar Dursun · Darmstadt |
| 77' | 🟨 | Tobias Kempe · Darmstadt |
| 80' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 18 |
| 2 | On target | 8 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 |
| venue | Benteler-Arena |
| 84' | 🟨 | Chima Okoroji · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kai Pröger · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 1.60 |
| coach days | 1434.00 | 247.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.77 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1492.85 | 1450.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.48 | -25.92 |
| eye test v1 | 0.20 | 0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.00 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.20 | 66.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | — |
| league points | 31.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 70.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.40 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.66 | -0.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.87 | 27.79 |
| state index | -0.15 | -0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | -0.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |